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Imaging Demand Is Climbing. And It's Leaving the Hospital.

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Every so often a national report puts numbers on something we watch from the road every week. Vizient's imaging outlook, written with their analytics arm Sg2, is one of those reports. The short version: demand for medical imaging keeps climbing, and more of it is happening outside hospital walls than ever before.

Both halves of that sentence matter to anyone running a clinic or care facility in Montana. Here is what the numbers say, and what we think they mean out here.

The numbers, briefly

Sg2 projects standard outpatient imaging volume to grow about 10 percent over the next decade, with advanced imaging closer to 14 percent. Ultrasound alone is forecast to grow 16 percent. Those are national figures, and they describe demand, not capacity. Nobody is projecting a matching 14 percent growth in radiology staffing.

Then there is the line we keep coming back to: roughly 40 percent of all radiology volume is now performed in outpatient imaging centers and clinics rather than acute-care hospitals. Four scans in ten already happen somewhere other than a hospital imaging department. The report's authors describe a broad shift in volume from hospital settings to outpatient ones, with outpatient growth now outpacing the radiology market as a whole.

What's driving it

Three forces, mostly. The population is getting older, and older patients need more imaging. New therapies are arriving that depend on scans; one newly approved Alzheimer's medication calls for a PET scan and five MRIs in the first year of treatment alone. And patients have gotten used to care that comes to them, or at least meets them closer to home.

None of those forces slows down on its own. Health systems know it, which is why the report describes hospitals investing in smaller imaging equipment for clinics and mobile units instead of assuming everyone will keep driving to the main campus.

Why this lands differently in Montana

In a state where the next hospital can be two hours of highway away, a national capacity squeeze is not an abstract worry. When demand grows faster than staffing, wait times are where it shows up first, and rural patients feel it most. A clinic in Choteau or a nursing facility in Plentywood cannot fix a national radiologist shortage. What they can control is whether every study requires a trip.

July makes the point on its own. Haying season and trail season are both running, urgent cares are busy, and a two-week wait for an imaging slot is two weeks a provider works without answers.

The part of the report we live every day

The Vizient authors mention mobile diagnostic imaging units traveling to rural and underserved areas almost in passing, one line in a fourteen-minute read. For us, that line is the whole business. Kate, our dispatcher in Eureka, spends her mornings assigning technicians to facilities from Kalispell to Billings. The X-ray goes to the nursing home. The echo goes to the cardiology office. Nobody rides a wheelchair van across two counties for a ten-minute study.

That is what the shift out of hospitals actually looks like on the ground. It is not a trend line. It is a technician carrying a portable unit through a facility's front door while the resident stays in a familiar room.

What facilities can do with this

If you run a skilled nursing facility, the math is straightforward. Every study performed on-site is a transport you did not have to arrange and a resident who stayed comfortable. Transport is often the single biggest hidden cost of a routine order, in staff hours as much as dollars.

If you manage a clinic, the question is scheduling speed. In our covered markets across Montana we offer same-day X-ray and EKG, with same-week ultrasound available in several cities. Orders flow through Rapid Radiology, and interpretation comes from their board-certified teleradiology network around the clock, so reports come back without your staff chasing them. Availability varies by city and modality, so it is worth a quick call to confirm what your market looks like before you count on a specific turnaround.

And if you are a cardiology office, the growth forecast for ultrasound and echo work is worth sitting with. The studies are coming. The only question is how far your patients will travel for them.

The takeaway

Demand is not waiting for anyone to build a new wing. The report makes a good case that the systems that thrive over the next decade will be the ones that bring imaging to the patient instead of the other way around. Out here, that has been the practical answer for a while. Montana distances forced the issue long before the national numbers did.

The full report, The growing demand for imaging services by Adam Fairbourn and Gurmeet Bawa, is worth the read if you plan capacity for a facility or clinic.

This article is for general information only and is not medical advice. Imaging decisions always belong with the ordering provider.

If you would like to see how mobile imaging would work at your facility or clinic, reach out to the Big Sky Imaging team. We are easy to order from and quick to respond.

Nathan Purdy MD, MHSA
Nathan Purdy is the founder and CEO of Big Sky Mobile Imaging
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